Bitcoin All Time High Date, Optimism $OP, BTC vs Real Estate, Zeihan vs Tesla



#Bitcoin #ETH #Optimism #PeterZeihanvsEV #BTCvsRealEstate #SPX2023
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00:00 Introduction
01:19 Where to Ask Questions
01:40 What are your thoughts about OPTIMISM (OP) ? It does hit a few tags for me: low market cap, high volume, L2 scaling, fairly new project.
02:24 More DAU than ADA per Artemis
02:54 Op Transactions per Day – Solid
03:20 Market Cap per Daily Transaction
03:51 Supply Schedule
04:37 Inflation over 10% in 6 Mths
05:38 Valuation Based on TPD and DAU
07:26 I’m a 75 year old “boomer”, and this may be my one and only cycle. I bought in high, averaged down BTC to 45. Out of dry powder. What is your best guesstimate as to a range for the next possible ATH and timeframe? Want the best for my wife of 54 years.
08:18 Bitcoin Halving Clock
08:32 Bitcoin Halving Rallies – Pantera Forecast
09:40 Halvings Impact on Bitcoin Price
10:37 IA Model Based on History
11:20 Summary for April 2024
12:34 2 scenarios. Setting: Toronto, Canada. Who would come out ahead? Renter who buys and hodls Bitcoin for next 20 years. Able to buy $300k of BTC. Home owner with million dollar 20yr mortgage, 20% down. Plus variable rates every 5 years, expenses, taxes, and equity growth minus repairs. Able to buy $100k BTC (b/c spent $200k on house).
13:38 Toronto Real Estate CAGR 7.08%
14:04 Canadian Money Supply Expansion
14:42 Modeling Out Real Estate in Toronto vs Bitcoin
17:00 Everyone Needs a Castle
17:54 I value Peter Zeihan’s thoughts on factors driving global developments – but wonder about his dismissal of crypto and Tesla/EVs. You’ve referenced Zeihan re: demographics. What do you make of his crypto/Tesla stances?
19:18 Move to BEV is Happening Whether PZ Likes It or Not
19:57 Electric Vehicles
20:16 Need 10x Graphite and Lithium
22:35 Peter on Elon’s Politics
23:26 MFF on Zeihan
24:08 Zeihan re Cobalt
24:58 Peter on Tesla Valuation
26:08 For Tesla to be Priced it has to Fall 90%
26:17 Zeihan on Carbon Footpring
27:09 4 Yrs X6 burns 4,000 Gallons
27:30 4,000 Gallons – Carbon Footprint
28:49 What’s the best way to make profit holding 100 shares of Tesla at this time with options?
29:00 Covered Call
20:16 Assuming S&P500 could hit a new low in ‘23, or come close to ‘22’s low, what’s a good strategy to DCA in the ETF with less hustle (set it and forget it)
30:56 SPX 2023 Game Plan
32:59 Unemployment numbers remain low but is it due to time running out on unemployment benefits and rolling them over to Welfare? Once on Welfare ppl are no longer looking for a job and don’t get counted against the unemployment calculation. Welfare spending has skyrocketed over the years and seems like they should be correlated or is this a nothing burger?
33:50 It is Definitely An Issue
34:07 Benefits Pay Better A LOT Better in Many States
35:06 Long Term Unemployed 64% Remain after 27 Weeks
36:03 Foodstamps
36:20 Welfare Skyrocketing
37:00 236M Recipients of Benefits and SS
37:44 39% Support 61% but 5M Pay No Taxes
38:16 57% Working Age
39:06 Liability per Taxpayer
40:11 Summary

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